Hamburg vs Leverkusen
Final Result
0:1
Leverkusen to win
Our Prediction
Correct
44.5%
Leverkusen to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins |
25.92%
±12.12%
|
3.45 | -10.6% |
| Draw |
29.61%
±2.11%
|
3.60 | +6.6% |
| Leverkusen wins |
44.47%
±13.52%
|
2.05 | -8.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamburg
Leverkusen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hamburg
Leverkusen
Shots
12.5
13.0
Shots On Target
4.8
4.3
Corners
4.0
5.5
Fouls
11.4
9.0
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:2 | L |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Mainz | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Union Berlin | 3:2 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Heidenheim | 0:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
Leverkusen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Mainz | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Union Berlin | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | St Pauli | 4:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | M'gladbach | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:3 | W |