Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
41.46%
±14.94%
|
2.05 | -15.0% |
| Draw |
29.13%
±2.7%
|
3.55 | +3.4% |
| Augsburg wins |
29.41%
±12.74%
|
3.50 | +2.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
Augsburg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
Augsburg
Shots
10.8
13.3
Shots On Target
4.1
4.7
Corners
5.5
4.5
Fouls
10.0
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
Augsburg
Shots
13.1
11.8
Shots On Target
4.9
3.7
Corners
4.4
5.8
Fouls
12.3
11.4
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
6Draws
1Augsburg Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Mainz Win | 1:4 |
| 8 Feb 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 20 Sep 2024 | Mainz Win | 2:3 |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Mainz Win | 1:0 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Augsburg Win | 2:1 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 2:1 | L |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 2:2 | D |
Augsburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 2:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 1:2 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Freiburg | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 1:1 | D |
| 11 Jan 2026 | M'gladbach | 4:0 | L |