Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca wins |
14.08%
±8.21%
|
6.25 | -12.0% |
| Draw |
27%
±4.32%
|
4.05 | +9.4% |
| Sp Braga wins |
58.92%
±12.3%
|
1.50 | -11.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arouca
Sp Braga
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arouca
Sp Braga
Shots
9.4
13.7
Shots On Target
2.8
5.2
Corners
3.6
5.6
Fouls
15.0
10.7
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.2
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arouca
Sp Braga
Shots
11.6
13.6
Shots On Target
3.9
6.0
Corners
5.9
5.0
Fouls
12.7
13.6
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arouca Wins
1Draws
0Sp Braga Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | Sp Braga Win | 2:1 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 1:2 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Arouca Win | 0:3 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Sp Braga Win | 0:1 |
| 19 Feb 2023 | Sp Braga Win | 2:0 |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2025 | Estoril | 4:3 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Moreirense | 0:2 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Benfica | 5:0 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Famalicao | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Sep 2025 | Porto | 0:4 | L |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Moreirense | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Porto | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Casa Pia | 4:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nacional | 0:1 | L |