Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela wins |
36.06%
±14.28%
|
2.73 | -1.7% |
| Draw |
29.77%
±1.87%
|
3.20 | -4.7% |
| Nacional wins |
34.17%
±13.31%
|
2.53 | -13.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estrela
Nacional
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Estrela
Nacional
Shots
11.8
10.7
Shots On Target
3.6
3.9
Corners
3.9
4.7
Fouls
14.5
15.2
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estrela
Nacional
Shots
17.0
15.0
Shots On Target
3.0
4.0
Corners
10.0
4.0
Fouls
10.0
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estrela Wins
2Draws
0Nacional Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2025 | Estrela Win | 0:1 |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Estrela Win | 2:0 |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 3:5 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | AVS | 3:0 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Tondela | 0:0 | D |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 0:1 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Moreirense | 3:2 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Sp Braga | 0:1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Arouca | 1:2 | L |