Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari wins |
13.14%
±7.8%
|
5.88 | -22.8% |
| Draw |
25.41%
±4.36%
|
3.95 | +0.4% |
| Milan wins |
61.45%
±11.95%
|
1.59 | -2.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cagliari
Milan
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Cagliari
Milan
Shots
9.8
13.1
Shots On Target
3.7
4.8
Corners
3.7
4.1
Fouls
16.4
9.5
Yellow Cards
2.7
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Cagliari
Milan
Shots
10.3
15.8
Shots On Target
3.4
6.6
Corners
4.5
6.2
Fouls
10.2
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Cagliari Wins
0Draws
3Milan Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 9 Nov 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 11 May 2024 | Milan Win | 5:1 |
| 27 Sep 2023 | Milan Win | 1:3 |
| 19 Mar 2022 | Milan Win | 0:1 |
Cagliari - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Torino | 1:2 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Pisa | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Atalanta | 2:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Roma | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Juventus | 2:1 | L |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | Verona | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sassuolo | 2:2 | D |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Torino | 2:3 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Lazio | 1:0 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Inter | 0:1 | W |