Barcelona vs Villarreal
Final Result
4:1
Barcelona to win
Our Prediction
Correct
68.7%
Barcelona to win
±12.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins |
68.69%
±12.33%
|
1.31 | -10.0% |
| Draw |
19.43%
±5.08%
|
6.38 | +23.8% |
| Villarreal wins |
11.88%
±7.38%
|
7.13 | -15.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Barcelona
Villarreal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Barcelona
Villarreal
Shots
21.7
10.4
Shots On Target
7.0
3.7
Corners
9.6
3.5
Fouls
8.6
13.2
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Barcelona
Villarreal
Shots
16.0
9.8
Shots On Target
6.8
3.4
Corners
6.4
3.5
Fouls
12.3
13.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Barcelona Wins
7Draws
0Villarreal Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Barcelona Win | 0:2 |
| 18 May 2025 | Villarreal Win | 2:3 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Barcelona Win | 1:5 |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Villarreal Win | 3:5 |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Barcelona Win | 3:4 |
Barcelona - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Levante | 3:0 | W |
| 16 Feb 2026 | Girona | 2:1 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Mallorca | 3:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Elche | 1:3 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Oviedo | 3:0 | W |
Villarreal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Valencia | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Levante | 0:1 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Getafe | 2:1 | L |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Espanol | 4:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Osasuna | 2:2 | D |