Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Alkmaar
Final Result
0:1
AZ Alkmaar to win
Our Prediction
Correct
57.6%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±12.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam wins |
16.21%
±9.15%
|
4.00 | -35.2% |
| Draw |
26.18%
±3.85%
|
4.05 | +6.0% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
57.61%
±12.75%
|
1.79 | +2.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
12.3
18.1
Shots On Target
4.3
6.0
Corners
3.5
6.1
Fouls
7.7
11.2
Yellow Cards
1.6
3.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
10.9
16.3
Shots On Target
4.2
5.4
Corners
3.2
6.6
Fouls
10.1
8.6
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
2Draws
3AZ Alkmaar Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam Win | 1:2 |
| 24 Nov 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 1:2 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:0 |
| 8 Apr 2023 | Sparta Rotterdam Win | 0:1 |
Sparta Rotterdam - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Telstar | 1:0 | W |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Groningen | 0:2 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 3:3 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Heracles | 3:0 | L |
| 19 Sep 2025 | Twente | 1:5 | L |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Utrecht | 4:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 0:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Telstar | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nijmegen | 2:1 | L |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Zwolle | 2:2 | D |