Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha wins |
46.76%
±14.73%
|
2.00 | -6.5% |
| Draw |
26.61%
±3.1%
|
3.68 | -2.2% |
| Nurnberg wins |
26.63%
±11.98%
|
3.40 | -9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hertha
Nurnberg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hertha
Nurnberg
Shots
12.7
12.5
Shots On Target
4.9
4.9
Corners
4.9
5.2
Fouls
12.8
10.7
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hertha
Nurnberg
Shots
16.2
11.6
Shots On Target
5.8
5.0
Corners
4.2
6.0
Fouls
17.6
10.8
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hertha Wins
2Draws
2Nurnberg Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Hertha Win | 0:3 |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Hertha Win | 0:2 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Nurnberg Win | 3:1 |
Hertha - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Paderborn | 5:2 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Hannover | 2:3 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Elversberg | 0:3 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Darmstadt | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Karlsruhe | 2:2 | D |
Nurnberg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Bochum | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Karlsruhe | 5:1 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Paderborn | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Preußen Münster | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Darmstadt | 2:0 | L |