Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins |
73.96%
±10.34%
|
1.19 | -12.4% |
| Draw |
17.87%
±5.19%
|
7.63 | +36.3% |
| Vallecano wins Top Bet |
8.17%
±5.22%
|
13.00 | +6.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Barcelona
Vallecano
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Barcelona
Vallecano
Shots
12.6
13.6
Shots On Target
5.3
5.2
Corners
5.6
4.7
Fouls
10.8
14.7
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Barcelona
Vallecano
Shots
15.7
9.1
Shots On Target
4.4
3.8
Corners
6.4
4.2
Fouls
11.7
12.5
Yellow Cards
2.8
3.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Barcelona Wins
4Draws
3Vallecano Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Barcelona Win | 1:0 |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 17 Feb 2025 | Barcelona Win | 1:0 |
| 27 Aug 2024 | Barcelona Win | 1:2 |
| 19 May 2024 | Barcelona Win | 3:0 |
Barcelona - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | Ath Bilbao | 2:0 | W |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Elche | 0:5 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Ath Bilbao | - | - |
| 23 May 2026 | Valencia | 3:1 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | Betis | 3:1 | W |
Vallecano - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | Alaves | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Sevilla | 2:1 | L |
| 23 May 2026 | Alaves | 1:2 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Villarreal | 2:0 | W |
| 14 May 2026 | Valencia | 1:1 | D |