Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins |
68.85%
±15.03%
|
1.30 | -10.5% |
| Draw |
21.25%
±7.06%
|
6.02 | +27.9% |
| Iceland wins |
9.91%
±7.99%
|
11.00 | +9.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mexico
Iceland
Head-to-Head History
Mexico Wins
3Draws
1Iceland Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 May 2021 | Mexico Win | 2:1 |
| 24 Mar 2018 | Mexico Win | 3:0 |
| 9 Feb 2017 | Mexico Win | 1:0 |
| 25 Mar 2010 | Draw | 0:0 |
Mexico - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Bolivia | 0:1 | W |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Panama | 0:1 | W |
| 19 Nov 2025 | Paraguay | 1:2 | L |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Uruguay | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Ecuador | 1:1 | D |
Iceland - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2025 | Northern Ireland | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Jun 2025 | Scotland | 1:3 | W |
| 10 Jun 2024 | Netherlands | 4:0 | L |
| 7 Jun 2024 | England | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Mar 2024 | Ukraine | 2:1 | L |