Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon wins |
86.69%
±5.93%
|
1.11 | -3.8% |
| Draw |
10.57%
±3.94%
|
9.13 | -3.5% |
| Estrela wins |
2.74%
±2.02%
|
17.50 | -52.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Lisbon
Estrela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Estrela
Shots
19.9
12.3
Shots On Target
7.3
3.5
Corners
7.5
3.7
Fouls
11.9
14.1
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Estrela
Shots
21.3
7.0
Shots On Target
7.3
4.0
Corners
8.3
2.0
Fouls
9.3
13.3
Yellow Cards
0.7
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Lisbon Wins
4Draws
0Estrela Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:3 |
| 1 Nov 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 5:1 |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 1:2 |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Sp Lisbon Win | 3:2 |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Santa Clara | 1:2 | W |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Alverca | 2:0 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Tondela | 0:3 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Estoril | 0:1 | W |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nacional | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 3:5 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | AVS | 3:0 | W |