Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utrecht wins |
40.28%
±14.7%
|
2.15 | -13.4% |
| Draw |
28.61%
±2.34%
|
3.65 | +4.4% |
| Nijmegen wins |
31.11%
±12.96%
|
3.18 | -1.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Utrecht
Nijmegen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Utrecht
Nijmegen
Shots
15.1
15.2
Shots On Target
5.4
6.7
Corners
5.3
5.1
Fouls
10.3
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Utrecht
Nijmegen
Shots
15.2
12.0
Shots On Target
5.5
4.4
Corners
6.2
4.1
Fouls
11.4
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Utrecht Wins
4Draws
2Nijmegen Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | Nijmegen Win | 0:1 |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Utrecht Win | 1:2 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Utrecht Win | 1:0 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Nijmegen Win | 3:0 |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Utrecht - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 4:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Volendam | 3:1 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Feyenoord | 3:2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Heerenveen | 2:2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | For Sittard | 1:0 | L |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Zwolle | 2:2 | D |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Twente | 3:3 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Heerenveen | 3:2 | L |