Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins |
69.62%
±11.84%
|
1.42 | -0.8% |
| Draw |
20.24%
±5.55%
|
4.55 | -7.9% |
| Parma wins |
10.14%
±6.39%
|
7.25 | -26.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Atalanta
Parma
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Atalanta
Parma
Shots
13.8
12.3
Shots On Target
4.5
2.8
Corners
5.0
3.7
Fouls
13.0
9.6
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Atalanta
Parma
Shots
15.0
5.8
Shots On Target
7.3
2.7
Corners
4.5
2.0
Fouls
12.7
10.3
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Atalanta Wins
5Draws
1Parma Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 25 May 2025 | Parma Win | 2:3 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Atalanta Win | 1:3 |
| 9 May 2021 | Atalanta Win | 2:5 |
| 6 Jan 2021 | Atalanta Win | 3:0 |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | Pisa | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Torino | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Bologna | 0:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Roma | 1:0 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Inter | 0:1 | L |
Parma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Genoa | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Napoli | 0:0 | D |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Lecce | 1:2 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Inter | 0:2 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sassuolo | 1:1 | D |