Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga wins |
39.03%
±14.71%
|
1.62 | -37.0% |
| Draw |
25.98%
±1.82%
|
4.35 | +13.0% |
| Santander wins Top Bet |
34.98%
±13.63%
|
4.15 | +45.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Malaga
Santander
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Malaga
Santander
Shots
15.4
14.0
Shots On Target
5.3
7.2
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
5.9
5.4
Fouls
10.9
15.1
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Malaga
Santander
Shots
13.3
13.8
Shots On Target
4.2
5.3
Corners
4.0
5.8
Fouls
16.3
14.3
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.7
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Malaga Wins
1Draws
2Santander Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Santander Win | 3:0 |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Santander Win | 2:1 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 5 Mar 2023 | Santander Win | 0:1 |
| 1 Oct 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Ceuta | 1:4 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Sp Gijon | 2:1 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Eibar | 2:4 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Castellon | 2:3 | L |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Almeria | 3:2 | L |
Santander - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Valladolid | 4:1 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Leganes | 1:2 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Huesca | 4:2 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Ceuta | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Sociedad B | 1:3 | W |