Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tondela wins |
47.82%
±15.04%
|
2.10 | +0.4% |
| Draw |
26.87%
±3.43%
|
3.30 | -11.3% |
| Arouca wins |
25.31%
±11.95%
|
3.40 | -13.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Tondela
Arouca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Tondela
Arouca
Shots
12.4
9.3
Shots On Target
3.7
2.6
Corners
4.6
3.6
Fouls
15.5
14.4
Yellow Cards
3.5
3.3
Red Cards
0.3
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Tondela
Arouca
Shots
10.5
8.0
Shots On Target
5.0
3.5
Corners
5.0
3.5
Fouls
13.0
18.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
4.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Tondela Wins
0Draws
1Arouca Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2022 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 29 Oct 2021 | Arouca Win | 2:0 |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 1:2 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Nacional | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Porto | 0:2 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | L |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 3:1 | L |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 0:4 | L |