Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins |
47.46%
±15.14%
|
2.20 | +4.4% |
| Draw |
26.15%
±3.23%
|
3.30 | -13.7% |
| Rio Ave wins |
26.4%
±12.27%
|
3.20 | -15.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Rio Ave
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nacional
Rio Ave
Shots
12.4
8.2
Shots On Target
3.9
3.1
Corners
3.3
4.0
Fouls
14.6
13.1
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Rio Ave
Shots
13.8
21.2
Shots On Target
4.2
8.5
Corners
4.0
9.5
Fouls
17.5
11.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
0Draws
3Rio Ave Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 10 May 2025 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 29 Dec 2024 | Rio Ave Win | 2:1 |
| 19 May 2021 | Rio Ave Win | 1:2 |
| 5 Feb 2021 | Draw | 0:0 |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 3:3 | D |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Guimaraes | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | AVS | 2:2 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 3:1 | W |
Rio Ave - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 4:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | L |