Birmingham vs Middlesbrough
Final Result
1:3
Middlesbrough to win
Our Prediction
Correct
36.1%
Middlesbrough to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham wins |
34.47%
±14.07%
|
2.45 | -15.5% |
| Draw |
29.45%
±1.7%
|
3.55 | +4.5% |
| Middlesbrough wins |
36.08%
±13.48%
|
2.64 | -4.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Shots
13.0
16.9
Shots On Target
3.9
5.9
Corners
6.3
6.3
Fouls
11.3
9.8
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Shots
9.1
11.9
Shots On Target
2.4
4.5
Corners
4.1
6.4
Fouls
13.2
9.5
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Birmingham Wins
2Draws
1Middlesbrough Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough Win | 2:1 |
| 12 Mar 2024 | Middlesbrough Win | 0:1 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Middlesbrough Win | 1:0 |
| 2 Jan 2023 | Middlesbrough Win | 1:3 |
| 5 Oct 2022 | Middlesbrough Win | 1:0 |
Birmingham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | Millwall | 3:0 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Norwich | 1:2 | W |
| 10 Feb 2026 | West Brom | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Leicester | 2:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Oxford | 0:2 | W |
Middlesbrough - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | Leicester | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Oxford | 0:0 | D |
| 16 Feb 2026 | Coventry | 3:1 | L |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Sheffield United | 1:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Norwich | 1:0 | W |