Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
35.92%
±14.03%
|
3.20 | +15.0% |
| Draw |
24.88%
±0.62%
|
3.55 | -11.7% |
| Newcastle wins |
39.2%
±14.16%
|
2.40 | -5.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Newcastle
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | Atalanta | 0:1 | L |
| 22 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 2:1 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Ajax | 4:0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2025 | Real Madrid | 2:1 | L |
| 9 May 2024 | Atalanta | 3:0 | L |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 2:0 | W |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Benfica | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Oct 2025 | St. Gilloise | 0:4 | W |
| 18 Sep 2025 | Barcelona | 1:2 | L |
| 13 Dec 2023 | Milan | 1:2 | L |