Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins Top Bet |
14.53%
±8.37%
|
6.14 | -10.8% |
| Draw |
26.76%
±4.22%
|
4.03 | +7.9% |
| Sp Braga wins |
58.71%
±12.37%
|
1.44 | -15.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Sp Braga
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nacional
Sp Braga
Shots
10.4
11.6
Shots On Target
2.9
3.8
Corners
4.3
4.0
Fouls
12.2
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Hit On Woodwork
N/A
0.0
Free Kicks Conceded
N/A
0.0
Offsides
N/A
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Sp Braga
Shots
10.0
16.5
Shots On Target
3.2
5.3
Corners
3.7
5.7
Fouls
11.7
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
1Draws
0Sp Braga Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Sp Braga Win | 1:2 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nacional Win | 0:1 |
| 21 Feb 2025 | Sp Braga Win | 1:0 |
| 20 Sep 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 0:3 |
| 28 Feb 2021 | Sp Braga Win | 1:2 |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Rio Ave | 3:2 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Famalicao | 0:4 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Alverca | 1:3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 2:0 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Estrela | 2:3 | L |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 1:3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Santa Clara | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Estoril | 1:0 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Estrela | 2:1 | L |