Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon wins |
75%
±10.17%
|
1.17 | -11.9% |
| Draw |
17.82%
±5.46%
|
7.50 | +33.6% |
| Estoril wins |
7.18%
±4.79%
|
11.25 | -19.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Lisbon
Estoril
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Estoril
Shots
17.2
11.6
Shots On Target
6.8
5.2
Corners
8.0
5.2
Fouls
13.1
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Lisbon
Estoril
Shots
16.9
6.4
Shots On Target
5.4
1.4
Corners
8.9
3.8
Fouls
10.6
12.1
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Lisbon Wins
9Draws
0Estoril Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:1 |
| 3 Mar 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 3:1 |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:3 |
| 11 May 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:1 |
| 5 Jan 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 5:1 |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Moreirense | 0:3 | W |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | W |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Porto | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Nacional | 2:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 1:2 | W |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Gil Vicente | 3:1 | W |
| 15 Feb 2026 | AVS | 3:0 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Tondela | 2:2 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Santa Clara | 2:4 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Guimaraes | 4:2 | W |