Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins |
54.65%
±14.21%
|
1.67 | -8.5% |
| Draw |
27.07%
±4.78%
|
3.85 | +4.2% |
| Leeds wins |
18.29%
±9.63%
|
4.90 | -10.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Newcastle
Leeds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Newcastle
Leeds
Shots
12.8
13.2
Shots On Target
5.4
4.5
Corners
6.9
4.7
Fouls
8.2
10.4
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Newcastle
Leeds
Shots
15.1
13.7
Shots On Target
4.4
4.4
Corners
6.3
4.7
Fouls
11.9
12.9
Yellow Cards
1.7
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Newcastle Wins
1Draws
4Leeds Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 13 May 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 31 Dec 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Newcastle Win | 0:1 |
| 17 Sep 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 1:3 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Man United | 1:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1:0 | L |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Man United | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 4:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 1:1 | D |