Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen wins |
51.2%
±14.86%
|
2.15 | +10.1% |
| Draw |
25.35%
±3.7%
|
3.50 | -11.3% |
| Dender wins |
23.45%
±11.42%
|
3.10 | -27.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mechelen
Dender
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mechelen
Dender
Shots
10.2
11.6
Shots On Target
3.5
4.4
Corners
5.0
3.2
Fouls
11.2
12.7
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mechelen
Dender
Shots
16.3
15.3
Shots On Target
6.7
5.7
Corners
4.3
4.7
Fouls
10.3
11.0
Yellow Cards
0.3
0.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mechelen Wins
4Draws
1Dender Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Mechelen Win | 1:3 |
| 24 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 4 Apr 2025 | Mechelen Win | 5:2 |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Mechelen Win | 2:1 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Mechelen Win | 2:5 |
Mechelen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | St Truiden | 1:0 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Cercle Brugge | 2:3 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Charleroi | 1:0 | W |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Standard | 0:1 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Genk | 0:1 | W |
Dender - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Standard | 0:1 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Club Brugge | 1:5 | L |
| 5 Dec 2025 | RAAL La Louviere | 1:2 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Westerlo | 2:2 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Antwerp | 1:2 | W |