Kilmarnock vs St Mirren
Final Result
4:3
Kilmarnock to win
Our Prediction
Missed
45.2%
St Mirren to win
±13.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock wins |
24.91%
±12.03%
|
2.70 | -32.8% |
| Draw |
29.86%
±2.31%
|
3.30 | -1.5% |
| St Mirren wins |
45.24%
±13.66%
|
2.48 | +12.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
Shots
10.8
13.2
Shots On Target
3.5
3.8
Corners
4.0
6.1
Fouls
13.7
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Kilmarnock
St Mirren
Shots
12.5
9.6
Shots On Target
4.2
2.4
Corners
4.6
5.5
Fouls
10.6
13.5
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Kilmarnock Wins
6Draws
3St Mirren Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Kilmarnock Win | 2:0 |
| 29 Mar 2025 | St Mirren Win | 5:1 |
| 2 Jan 2025 | Kilmarnock Win | 2:0 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
Kilmarnock - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | Rangers | 5:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Aberdeen | 3:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Motherwell | 4:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Hibernian | 1:3 | L |
St Mirren - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | Hearts | 1:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:0 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | - | - |
| 20 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Hearts | 2:0 | L |