Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
67.82%
±12.11%
|
1.42 | -3.4% |
| Draw |
21.25%
±5.53%
|
4.47 | -5.1% |
| Sassuolo wins |
10.93%
±6.69%
|
7.63 | -16.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Milan
Sassuolo
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Milan
Sassuolo
Shots
12.6
12.2
Shots On Target
4.5
4.0
Corners
2.8
4.0
Fouls
9.3
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Milan
Sassuolo
Shots
15.2
11.8
Shots On Target
5.6
4.9
Corners
5.1
4.4
Fouls
13.9
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Milan Wins
4Draws
2Sassuolo Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 30 Dec 2023 | Milan Win | 1:0 |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Sassuolo Win | 2:5 |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 22 May 2022 | Milan Win | 0:3 |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Dec 2025 | Torino | 2:3 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Lazio | 1:0 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Inter | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Parma | 2:2 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Roma | 1:0 | W |
Sassuolo - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Fiorentina | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Como | 2:0 | L |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Pisa | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Atalanta | 0:3 | W |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Genoa | 1:2 | L |