Real Madrid vs Malaga
Final Result
4:0
Real Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
76.4%
Real Madrid to win
±9.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins |
76.35%
±9.64%
|
1.13 | -14.1% |
| Draw |
16.04%
±4.81%
|
9.00 | +44.3% |
| Malaga wins Top Bet |
7.61%
±4.91%
|
19.00 | +44.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Real Madrid
Malaga
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Real Madrid
Malaga
Shots
16.0
13.1
Shots On Target
6.3
5.1
Corners
5.7
4.0
Fouls
9.9
8.9
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Hit On Woodwork
N/A
0.0
Free Kicks Conceded
N/A
0.0
Offsides
N/A
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | Sociedad | 4:1 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Espanol | 1:2 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Sociedad | - | - |
| 23 May 2026 | Ath Bilbao | 4:2 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Sevilla | 0:1 | W |
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2026 | La Coruna | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Ath Madrid | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Atl. Madrid | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Ath Madrid | - | - |
| 31 May 2026 | Zaragoza | 0:2 | W |