Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrogate wins |
22.41%
±11.43%
|
4.22 | -5.5% |
| Draw |
24.67%
±2.64%
|
3.60 | -11.2% |
| Swindon wins |
52.92%
±13.68%
|
1.77 | -6.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Harrogate
Swindon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Harrogate
Swindon
Shots
12.0
11.7
Shots On Target
3.2
4.3
Corners
4.4
5.5
Fouls
11.5
8.8
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Harrogate
Swindon
Shots
10.7
14.7
Shots On Target
3.7
4.3
Corners
4.1
6.3
Fouls
9.6
8.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Harrogate Wins
2Draws
4Swindon Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Swindon Win | 3:1 |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Harrogate Win | 1:0 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 18 Nov 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Harrogate - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Crawley Town | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Fleetwood Town | 1:2 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Gillingham | 0:3 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Shrewsbury | 1:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Crewe | 1:1 | D |
Swindon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Barrow | 3:1 | W |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Notts County | 2:1 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Bromley | 2:1 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Salford | 2:3 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Gillingham | 2:0 | W |