Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins |
43.23%
±14.7%
|
1.93 | -16.6% |
| Draw |
29.58%
±3.09%
|
3.45 | +2.1% |
| Mainz wins |
27.19%
±12.07%
|
4.00 | +8.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Freiburg
Mainz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Freiburg
Mainz
Shots
10.5
11.6
Shots On Target
3.3
2.9
Corners
4.4
4.9
Fouls
8.2
13.9
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Freiburg
Mainz
Shots
13.3
14.3
Shots On Target
4.5
5.2
Corners
5.1
4.2
Fouls
11.4
15.3
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Freiburg Wins
2Draws
6Mainz Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Freiburg Win | 0:1 |
| 19 Mar 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Freiburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Bayern Munich | 6:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | St Pauli | 2:1 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Union Berlin | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 2:2 | D |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | Hoffenheim | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Stuttgart | 2:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen | 3:4 | L |