Holstein Kiel vs Dresden
Final Result
2:1
Holstein Kiel to win
Our Prediction
Correct
54.2%
Holstein Kiel to win
±14.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holstein Kiel wins |
54.16%
±14.58%
|
1.93 | +4.5% |
| Draw |
23.65%
±3.78%
|
3.75 | -11.3% |
| Dresden wins |
22.19%
±11.02%
|
3.68 | -18.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Holstein Kiel
Dresden
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Holstein Kiel
Dresden
Shots
13.7
11.4
Shots On Target
4.0
3.6
Corners
5.4
5.2
Fouls
13.3
10.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Holstein Kiel
Dresden
Shots
17.0
13.0
Shots On Target
6.7
3.0
Corners
4.7
4.3
Fouls
11.0
13.7
Yellow Cards
1.3
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Holstein Kiel Wins
2Draws
1Dresden Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 5 Nov 2021 | Holstein Kiel Win | 2:1 |
| 18 Jun 2020 | Holstein Kiel Win | 2:0 |
Holstein Kiel - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Magdeburg | 3:3 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Braunschweig | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Hertha | 0:1 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Kaiserslautern | 4:1 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 1:0 | W |
Dresden - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | Braunschweig | 2:3 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Kaiserslautern | 3:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Bochum | 1:2 | W |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Nurnberg | 1:2 | L |