Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn wins |
54.5%
±14.38%
|
1.86 | +1.4% |
| Draw |
24.94%
±4.16%
|
3.78 | -5.9% |
| Nurnberg wins |
20.56%
±10.44%
|
3.80 | -21.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Paderborn
Nurnberg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Paderborn
Nurnberg
Shots
16.0
12.2
Shots On Target
5.6
4.6
Corners
5.9
5.2
Fouls
13.5
11.6
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Paderborn
Nurnberg
Shots
14.5
13.4
Shots On Target
4.6
4.6
Corners
5.9
5.1
Fouls
13.5
10.9
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Paderborn Wins
4Draws
2Nurnberg Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Paderborn Win | 2:3 |
| 22 Nov 2024 | Paderborn Win | 3:2 |
| 19 Apr 2024 | Paderborn Win | 0:2 |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Nurnberg Win | 1:3 |
Paderborn - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Preußen Münster | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Holstein Kiel | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Darmstadt | 2:2 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Karlsruhe | 0:4 | W |
Nurnberg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Preußen Münster | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Darmstadt | 2:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Elversberg | 3:2 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Hannover | 2:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Schalke 04 | 1:0 | L |