Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padova wins |
21.5%
±11.07%
|
4.33 | -6.9% |
| Draw |
25.69%
±2.82%
|
3.45 | -11.4% |
| Monza wins |
52.81%
±13.51%
|
1.81 | -4.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Padova
Monza
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Padova
Monza
Shots
11.3
13.7
Shots On Target
4.6
4.8
Corners
4.4
6.0
Fouls
14.0
12.7
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Padova
Monza
Shots
13.0
13.0
Shots On Target
4.0
4.0
Corners
3.0
7.0
Fouls
12.0
10.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Padova Wins
1Draws
0Monza Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Padova Win | 0:1 |
Padova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sudtirol | 3:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Mantova | 1:2 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Modena | 2:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Palermo | 1:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sampdoria | 1:1 | D |
Monza - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Pescara | 3:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Frosinone | 2:2 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Virtus Entella | 1:0 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Modena | 1:2 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Carrarese | 4:1 | W |