Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alverca wins |
6.4%
±4.3%
|
8.38 | -46.4% |
| Draw |
21.68%
±5.17%
|
4.78 | +3.5% |
| Porto wins |
71.91%
±9.37%
|
1.35 | -2.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alverca
Porto
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Alverca
Porto
Shots
9.2
14.1
Shots On Target
3.4
5.4
Corners
3.2
5.2
Fouls
13.0
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 1:0 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Nacional | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 2:0 | L |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 3:1 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Tondela | 0:2 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Estoril | 1:0 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 0:1 | W |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Sp Braga | 2:1 | W |