Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria wins |
49.79%
±14.88%
|
2.10 | +4.5% |
| Draw |
26.15%
±3.61%
|
3.10 | -18.9% |
| Spezia wins |
24.07%
±11.55%
|
3.65 | -12.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sampdoria
Spezia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Sampdoria
Spezia
Shots
12.7
11.6
Shots On Target
4.0
3.9
Corners
5.2
5.2
Fouls
18.3
15.0
Yellow Cards
2.8
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sampdoria
Spezia
Shots
9.4
11.7
Shots On Target
3.2
4.2
Corners
4.1
5.6
Fouls
13.4
17.1
Yellow Cards
3.1
2.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sampdoria Wins
2Draws
4Spezia Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Spezia Win | 1:0 |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Spezia Win | 2:0 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 24 Nov 2023 | Sampdoria Win | 2:1 |
Sampdoria - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Catanzaro | 0:0 | D |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Virtus Entella | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Avellino | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Reggiana | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Padova | 1:1 | D |
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Avellino | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Palermo | 1:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Sudtirol | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Pescara | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Frosinone | 2:1 | L |