Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle wins |
60.03%
±13.04%
|
1.40 | -16.3% |
| Draw |
27.62%
±6.1%
|
4.75 | +31.2% |
| Morecambe wins |
12.35%
±7.08%
|
5.88 | -27.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Carlisle
Morecambe
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Carlisle
Morecambe
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Carlisle
Morecambe
Shots
12.4
12.8
Shots On Target
4.2
4.6
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
7.2
6.6
Fouls
15.4
13.6
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Carlisle Wins
2Draws
1Morecambe Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Carlisle Win | 0:2 |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Morecambe Win | 0:1 |
| 6 Mar 2021 | Morecambe Win | 3:1 |
| 27 Oct 2020 | Carlisle Win | 3:1 |
| 22 Feb 2020 | Draw | 2:2 |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | Gateshead | 0:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Boreham Wood | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Woking | 1:3 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Tamworth | 2:1 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Boston Utd | 1:2 | W |
Morecambe - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | Rochdale | 1:2 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Brackley Town | 0:2 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Boston Utd | 0:3 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Braintree Town | 1:0 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Yeovil | 0:0 | D |