Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda wins |
44.72%
±19.64%
|
2.67 | +19.4% |
| Draw |
27.58%
±3.3%
|
2.80 | -22.8% |
| Tanzania wins |
27.7%
±16.48%
|
3.70 | +2.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Uganda
Tanzania
Head-to-Head History
Uganda Wins
2Draws
1Tanzania Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2023 | Uganda Win | 0:1 |
| 24 Mar 2023 | Tanzania Win | 0:1 |
| 9 Dec 2021 | Uganda Win | 0:2 |
| 24 Mar 2019 | Tanzania Win | 3:0 |
| 8 Sep 2018 | Draw | 0:0 |
Uganda - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | Tunisia | 3:1 | L |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Morocco | 4:0 | L |
| 9 Jun 2025 | Gambia | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Nov 2024 | Congo | 0:1 | W |
| 15 Nov 2024 | South Africa | 0:2 | L |
Tanzania - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec 2025 | Nigeria | 2:1 | L |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Kuwait | 4:3 | L |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Iran | 2:0 | L |
| 6 Jun 2025 | South Africa | 0:0 | D |
| 19 Nov 2024 | Guinea | 1:0 | W |