Ath Madrid vs Alaves
Final Result
1:0
Ath Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
72%
Ath Madrid to win
±8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ath Madrid wins |
72%
±8%
|
1.32 | -5.8% |
| Draw |
19%
±4%
|
5.25 | -0.6% |
| Alaves wins |
9%
±4%
|
9.63 | -8.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ath Madrid
Alaves
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Ath Madrid
Alaves
Shots
13.1
12.2
Shots On Target
5.1
4.0
Corners
6.5
5.1
Fouls
11.2
14.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ath Madrid
Alaves
Shots
12.1
6.4
Shots On Target
5.1
1.7
Corners
6.1
2.0
Fouls
13.3
14.6
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ath Madrid Wins
6Draws
2Alaves Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 3 May 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Ath Madrid Win | 2:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Alaves Win | 2:0 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Ath Madrid Win | 2:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
Ath Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sociedad | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Girona | 0:3 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Valencia | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 1:0 | L |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Barcelona | 3:1 | L |
Alaves - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Villarreal | 3:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Oviedo | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Osasuna | 3:0 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Real Madrid | 1:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sociedad | 1:0 | W |