Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estoril wins |
37%
±10%
|
2.43 | -11.2% |
| Estrela wins |
34%
±10%
|
2.75 | -6.0% |
| Draw |
29%
±1%
|
3.30 | -3.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Estrela
Estoril
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Estrela
Estoril
Shots
10.9
11.7
Shots On Target
3.6
4.1
Corners
3.3
4.4
Fouls
14.4
12.9
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Estrela
Estoril
Shots
10.8
10.8
Shots On Target
4.5
5.0
Corners
4.0
5.2
Fouls
13.5
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Estrela Wins
1Draws
1Estoril Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 17 May 2025 | Estoril Win | 4:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Estoril Win | 2:4 | Primeira Liga |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Estoril Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 25 Aug 2023 | Estrela Win | 2:1 | Primeira Liga |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga | 3:3 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 2:3 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Porto | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
Estoril - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Benfica | 3:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 4:1 | W |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Famalicao | 4:0 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 3:3 | D |