Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins |
55%
±11%
|
2.05 | +13.2% |
| Burnley wins |
19%
±8%
|
3.60 | -30.9% |
| Draw |
26%
±3%
|
3.45 | -11.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Tottenham
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Burnley
Tottenham
Shots
9.3
11.5
Shots On Target
3.1
3.9
Corners
3.6
5.5
Fouls
10.4
12.2
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Tottenham
Shots
13.0
16.0
Shots On Target
3.9
5.9
Corners
3.9
5.9
Fouls
11.0
9.6
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.6
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
1Draws
1Tottenham Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2025 | Tottenham Win | 3:0 | English Premier League |
| 11 May 2024 | Tottenham Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Tottenham Win | 2:5 | English Premier League |
| 15 May 2022 | Tottenham Win | 1:0 | English Premier League |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Burnley Win | 1:0 | English Premier League |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Man United | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Brighton | 2:0 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 1:3 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:0 | D |
Tottenham - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | West Ham | 1:2 | L |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 3:2 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sunderland | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Brentford | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | W |