Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Lisbon wins |
76%
±8%
|
1.24 | -6.6% |
| Arouca wins |
7%
±4%
|
11.00 | -19.4% |
| Draw |
17%
±4%
|
5.75 | -2.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arouca
Sp Lisbon
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Arouca
Sp Lisbon
Shots
10.7
17.7
Shots On Target
3.6
6.8
Corners
3.7
6.9
Fouls
13.8
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.2
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arouca
Sp Lisbon
Shots
8.7
17.0
Shots On Target
3.4
6.8
Corners
2.8
6.2
Fouls
13.7
9.2
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arouca Wins
1Draws
2Sp Lisbon Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2025 | Sp Lisbon Win | 6:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 15 Feb 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 13 Sep 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:3 | Primeira Liga |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Sp Lisbon Win | 0:3 | Primeira Liga |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Sp Lisbon Win | 2:1 | Primeira Liga |
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Tondela | 3:1 | L |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Santa Clara | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 1:0 | W |
Sp Lisbon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | Casa Pia | 3:0 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Gil Vicente | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Rio Ave | 4:0 | W |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Guimaraes | 1:4 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | AVS | 6:0 | W |