Villarreal vs Real Madrid
Final Result
0:2
Real Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
54%
Real Madrid to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins |
54%
±12%
|
2.00 | +7.0% |
| Villarreal wins |
22%
±10%
|
3.35 | -26.2% |
| Draw |
24%
±3%
|
3.85 | -5.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Shots
12.0
17.4
Shots On Target
4.5
6.6
Corners
4.2
6.2
Fouls
11.9
10.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Villarreal
Real Madrid
Shots
12.1
15.7
Shots On Target
4.0
4.8
Corners
3.9
5.0
Fouls
13.7
8.7
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Villarreal Wins
2Draws
3Real Madrid Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Real Madrid Win | 3:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 15 Mar 2025 | Real Madrid Win | 1:2 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Real Madrid Win | 2:0 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 19 May 2024 | Draw | 4:4 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 17 Dec 2023 | Real Madrid Win | 4:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
Villarreal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Betis | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Alaves | 3:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Elche | 1:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Barcelona | 0:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Getafe | 2:0 | W |
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Levante | 2:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Betis | 5:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sevilla | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Alaves | 1:2 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Celta | 0:2 | L |