Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twente wins |
73%
±7%
|
1.34 | -2.0% |
| Draw |
17%
±3%
|
5.38 | -6.7% |
| Excelsior wins |
10%
±4%
|
8.25 | -21.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Twente
Excelsior
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Twente
Excelsior
Shots
17.8
12.4
Shots On Target
6.5
4.2
Corners
5.4
4.1
Fouls
10.6
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Twente
Excelsior
Shots
21.8
8.0
Shots On Target
6.8
2.6
Corners
5.8
3.0
Fouls
8.2
8.8
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Twente Wins
3Draws
1Excelsior Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Excelsior Win | 1:0 | Eredivisie |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Twente Win | 0:3 | Eredivisie |
| 8 Dec 2023 | Twente Win | 4:2 | Eredivisie |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Draw | 0:0 | Eredivisie |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Twente Win | 4:0 | Eredivisie |
Twente - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Heracles | 0:2 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Zwolle | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Feyenoord | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Utrecht | 1:1 | D |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 5:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Zwolle | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Groningen | 0:2 | L |