Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins |
72%
±9%
|
1.43 | +1.9% |
| Draw |
19%
±4%
|
4.55 | -15.2% |
| Parma wins |
10%
±5%
|
7.25 | -28.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Atalanta
Parma
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Atalanta
Parma
Shots
14.8
10.6
Shots On Target
4.6
2.8
Corners
5.7
3.8
Fouls
11.8
10.8
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Atalanta
Parma
Shots
15.0
5.8
Shots On Target
7.3
2.7
Corners
4.5
2.0
Fouls
12.7
10.3
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.7
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Atalanta Wins
5Draws
1Parma Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Serie A |
| 25 May 2025 | Parma Win | 2:3 | Serie A |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Atalanta Win | 1:3 | Serie A |
| 9 May 2021 | Atalanta Win | 2:5 | Serie A |
| 6 Jan 2021 | Atalanta Win | 3:0 | Serie A |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | Pisa | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Torino | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Bologna | 0:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Roma | 1:0 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Inter | 0:1 | L |
Parma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Genoa | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Napoli | 0:0 | D |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Lecce | 1:2 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Inter | 0:2 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sassuolo | 1:1 | D |