Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtic wins |
44%
±11%
|
2.23 | -1.4% |
| Hearts wins |
34%
±11%
|
2.95 | +0.1% |
| Draw |
22%
±1%
|
3.50 | -23.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hearts
Celtic
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Hearts
Celtic
Shots
14.4
16.4
Shots On Target
5.1
5.6
Corners
5.6
6.6
Fouls
10.9
12.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hearts
Celtic
Shots
8.5
15.2
Shots On Target
3.6
5.4
Corners
4.2
8.4
Fouls
9.4
9.9
Yellow Cards
1.7
0.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hearts Wins
4Draws
0Celtic Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Hearts Win | 1:2 | Scottish Premiership |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Hearts Win | 3:1 | Scottish Premiership |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Celtic Win | 3:0 | Scottish Premiership |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Celtic Win | 1:4 | Scottish Premiership |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Celtic Win | 2:0 | Scottish Premiership |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | St Mirren | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Hibernian | 3:2 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Rangers | 2:1 | W |
Celtic - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 0:1 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | 4:0 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Rangers | 1:3 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Motherwell | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Livingston | 2:4 | W |