Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins |
39%
±11%
|
2.70 | +5.9% |
| Brest wins |
34%
±11%
|
2.75 | -7.7% |
| Draw |
27%
±1%
|
3.10 | -15.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brest
Toulouse
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Brest
Toulouse
Shots
11.2
12.3
Shots On Target
3.5
4.1
Corners
3.9
4.3
Fouls
12.8
14.1
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brest
Toulouse
Shots
14.1
9.9
Shots On Target
5.1
3.4
Corners
4.7
4.9
Fouls
14.0
15.6
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brest Wins
5Draws
2Toulouse Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug 2025 | Toulouse Win | 2:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 30 Mar 2025 | Brest Win | 2:4 | Ligue 1 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Brest Win | 2:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 19 May 2024 | Brest Win | 0:3 | Ligue 1 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | Ligue 1 |
Brest - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Lyon | 2:1 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Auxerre | 2:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Rennes | 3:1 | L |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Monaco | 1:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Strasbourg | 1:2 | W |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Nice | 5:1 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Lens | 0:3 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Paris FC | 0:3 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Strasbourg | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Marseille | 2:2 | D |