English Premier League 25 Jan 2026 11:30 Match Finished

Arsenal vs Man United

Our Prediction Missed
67% Arsenal to win

±12%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Arsenal wins
67% ±11%
1.56 +3.9%
Draw
18% ±4%
4.15 -25.4%
Man United wins
15% ±8%
5.88 -9.4%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Arsenal
Man United

Season Statistics

Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.

Stat
Arsenal
Man United
Shots 14.5 15.7
Shots On Target 4.9 5.7
Corners 5.7 4.8
Fouls 10.3 10.3
Yellow Cards 1.3 1.6
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Arsenal
Man United
Shots 15.7 11.9
Shots On Target 5.1 4.7
Corners 7.5 3.5
Fouls 10.1 9.7
Yellow Cards 1.8 2.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Arsenal Wins

6

Draws

2

Man United Wins

2
Date Result Score Competition
17 Aug 2025 Arsenal Win 0:1 English Premier League
9 Mar 2025 Draw 1:1 English Premier League
4 Dec 2024 Arsenal Win 2:0 English Premier League
12 May 2024 Arsenal Win 0:1 English Premier League
3 Sep 2023 Arsenal Win 3:1 English Premier League

Arsenal - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
17 Jan 2026 Nott'm Forest 0:0 D
8 Jan 2026 Liverpool 0:0 D
3 Jan 2026 Bournemouth 2:3 W
30 Dec 2025 Aston Villa 4:1 W
27 Dec 2025 Brighton 2:1 W

Man United - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
17 Jan 2026 Man City 2:0 W
7 Jan 2026 Burnley 2:2 D
4 Jan 2026 Leeds 1:1 D
30 Dec 2025 Wolves 1:1 D
26 Dec 2025 Newcastle 1:0 W