Lille vs Strasbourg
Final Result
1:4
Strasbourg to win
Our Prediction
Missed
53%
Lille to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins |
53%
±11%
|
2.00 | +5.9% |
| Draw |
25%
±3%
|
3.55 | -13.0% |
| Strasbourg wins |
23%
±9%
|
3.55 | -20.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lille
Strasbourg
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Lille
Strasbourg
Shots
13.6
11.6
Shots On Target
4.7
4.7
Corners
5.6
4.2
Fouls
10.8
11.1
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lille
Strasbourg
Shots
11.7
9.3
Shots On Target
5.3
3.2
Corners
5.5
4.5
Fouls
13.6
14.2
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lille Wins
5Draws
2Strasbourg Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Strasbourg Win | 2:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Strasbourg Win | 2:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Draw | 3:3 | Ligue 1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Lille Win | 1:0 | Ligue 1 |
| 20 Dec 2023 | Strasbourg Win | 2:1 | Ligue 1 |
Lille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | Paris SG | 3:0 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Rennes | 0:2 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Auxerre | 3:4 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Marseille | 1:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Le Havre | 0:1 | W |
Strasbourg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Metz | 2:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Nice | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Lorient | 0:0 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Toulouse | 1:0 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Brest | 1:2 | L |