Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln wins |
62%
±10%
|
1.56 | -2.9% |
| Draw |
23%
±4%
|
3.80 | -13.9% |
| Burton wins |
15%
±7%
|
5.38 | -19.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lincoln
Burton
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Lincoln
Burton
Shots
12.5
11.3
Shots On Target
4.6
3.5
Corners
4.3
5.3
Fouls
12.6
10.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lincoln
Burton
Shots
10.6
13.2
Shots On Target
2.8
3.8
Corners
4.1
5.8
Fouls
9.1
12.9
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lincoln Wins
5Draws
0Burton Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Lincoln Win | 0:1 | English League One |
| 22 Feb 2025 | Burton Win | 0:1 | English League One |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Lincoln Win | 2:3 | English League One |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Lincoln Win | 0:1 | English League One |
| 14 Oct 2023 | Burton Win | 0:1 | English League One |
Lincoln - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Luton | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Peterboro | 5:2 | W |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Barnsley | 0:2 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Stockport | 1:2 | W |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 3:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Plymouth | 3:0 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Reading | 2:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Wigan | 0:2 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Northampton | 5:1 | W |