Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga wins |
41%
±11%
|
2.06 | -16.6% |
| Draw |
31%
±2%
|
2.98 | -6.8% |
| Burgos wins |
28%
±10%
|
3.80 | +6.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Malaga
Burgos
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Malaga
Burgos
Shots
14.0
10.0
Shots On Target
5.4
3.2
Corners
4.3
3.7
Fouls
12.0
12.9
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Malaga
Burgos
Shots
11.0
9.3
Shots On Target
2.8
2.5
Corners
5.0
3.8
Fouls
13.2
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Malaga Wins
0Draws
3Burgos Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Burgos Win | 2:1 | La Liga Segunda Division |
| 31 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | La Liga Segunda Division |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | La Liga Segunda Division |
| 21 Jan 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | La Liga Segunda Division |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Burgos Win | 1:0 | La Liga Segunda Division |
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Cordoba | 0:1 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Ceuta | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sp Gijon | 1:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Almeria | 2:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Albacete | 1:3 | W |
Burgos - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Huesca | 1:0 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Eibar | 1:0 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Cordoba | 2:0 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Zaragoza | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Almeria | 1:2 | W |