Malaga vs Burgos
Final Result
3:0
Malaga to win
Our Prediction
Correct
41%
Malaga to win
±11%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga wins |
41%
±11%
|
2.06 | -16.6% |
| Draw |
31%
±2%
|
2.98 | -6.8% |
| Burgos wins |
28%
±10%
|
3.80 | +6.7% |
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Malaga
Burgos
Shots
11.0
9.3
Shots On Target
2.8
2.5
Corners
5.0
3.8
Fouls
13.2
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Malaga Wins
0Draws
3Burgos Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Burgos Win | 2:1 | La Liga Segunda Division |
| 31 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | La Liga Segunda Division |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | La Liga Segunda Division |
| 21 Jan 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | La Liga Segunda Division |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Burgos Win | 1:0 | La Liga Segunda Division |
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Cordoba | 0:1 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Ceuta | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sp Gijon | 1:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Almeria | 2:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Albacete | 1:3 | W |
Burgos - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Huesca | 1:0 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Eibar | 1:0 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Cordoba | 2:0 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Zaragoza | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Almeria | 1:2 | W |