Real Madrid vs Vallecano
Final Result
2:1
Real Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
79%
Real Madrid to win
±6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins |
79%
±6%
|
1.26 | -0.4% |
| Draw |
15%
±3%
|
6.00 | -9.9% |
| Vallecano wins |
6%
±3%
|
11.00 | -34.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Shots
17.4
14.1
Shots On Target
6.6
4.8
Corners
6.2
5.8
Fouls
10.1
13.6
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Shots
14.8
14.1
Shots On Target
4.8
4.6
Corners
6.6
4.0
Fouls
9.0
17.1
Yellow Cards
2.6
3.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Real Madrid Wins
4Draws
4Vallecano Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Real Madrid Win | 2:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 3:3 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | La Liga Primera Division |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Draw | 0:0 | La Liga Primera Division |
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Villarreal | 0:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Levante | 2:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Betis | 5:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sevilla | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Alaves | 1:2 | W |
Vallecano - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Osasuna | 1:3 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Celta | 3:0 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Mallorca | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Getafe | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Elche | 4:0 | L |