Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
65%
±10%
|
1.56 | +1.3% |
| Leeds wins |
15%
±7%
|
5.75 | -15.0% |
| Draw |
20%
±3%
|
4.10 | -16.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leeds
Arsenal
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Leeds
Arsenal
Shots
12.6
14.5
Shots On Target
4.0
4.9
Corners
4.4
5.7
Fouls
10.5
10.3
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leeds
Arsenal
Shots
10.3
14.6
Shots On Target
3.3
6.1
Corners
3.4
4.0
Fouls
12.3
9.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
0.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leeds Wins
0Draws
1Arsenal Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Arsenal Win | 5:0 | English Premier League |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Arsenal Win | 4:1 | English Premier League |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Arsenal Win | 0:1 | English Premier League |
| 8 May 2022 | Arsenal Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 18 Dec 2021 | Arsenal Win | 1:4 | English Premier League |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 4:3 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Man United | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 0:0 | D |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Man United | 2:3 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 0:0 | D |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 0:0 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 2:3 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 4:1 | W |