Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins |
52%
±12%
|
1.75 | -8.5% |
| Burton wins |
22%
±9%
|
4.27 | -7.0% |
| Draw |
26%
±3%
|
3.70 | -4.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burton
Cardiff
Season Statistics
Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.
Stat
Burton
Cardiff
Shots
11.3
15.8
Shots On Target
3.5
5.4
Corners
5.3
6.2
Fouls
10.9
9.6
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.7
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burton
Cardiff
Shots
9.0
20.0
Shots On Target
2.0
8.0
Corners
3.0
8.0
Fouls
12.0
13.0
Yellow Cards
4.0
2.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burton Wins
1Draws
0Cardiff Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | Burton Win | 0:1 | English League One |
Burton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | Bolton | 2:1 | L |
| 22 Jan 2026 | Lincoln | 2:1 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 3:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Plymouth | 3:0 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Reading | 2:0 | L |
Cardiff - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | Barnsley | 4:0 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Stockport | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Bradford | 1:2 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Leyton Orient | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Wigan | 1:0 | W |